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The vast majority of cow-calf producers normally sell their
annual calf crop in the cash market. It has been estimated that a high percentage of the calves sold are
through local cash markets. However, cow-calf producers can and do make use of the futures market as an information
tool in making marketing decisions without formally entering into a futures contract. The futures
market does provide information to the producer about expected market prices and price trends.
Slaughter cow sales volume is greatest during the fall and winter of any
year. After calves are weaned cow productivity is generally evaluated. Poor performers are generally culled
from the herd to avoid the costs of carrying an open cow through the winter. The availability of pasture and
feed sources may create a plus or minus level of activity for this category of cattle.
Stocker Producers
Stocker cattle can be defined as weaned calves that are placed on small grain pastures or
placed in feedyards and backgrounded. Beginning stocker cattle weights are normally between 350 and 500
pounds. Finished stocker cattle normally will weigh between 600 and 800 pounds. Stocker operators provide an
interim step in the production process--taking these lightweight calves, growing them on cheap feed
correcting for any problems that happen at or before weaning.
The stockering phase is not a large part of the cattle industry in many
parts of the country. Inexpensive forages, made available because of rotation requirements with other
agronomic crops and by- products from other livestock enterprises, makes stockering attractive when readily
available to beef producers. Marketing opportunities available to stocker operations are similar to those at
the cow/calf level.
Processor-Packer
Processor-Packers buy finished beef cattle, process them and sell the carcass or boxed
beef to retailers. This segment of the beef industry is concentrated in the Midwest among major packing
companies, it is estimated that a small group of packers process over 80 percent of the industry's finished
beef.
How The Market Determines Cattle Prices The driving
force behind this price discovery process is profit. Every stage of the production marketing channel wants to
provide the consumer with a safe, quality product that adds value to the consumer’s decision to buy
beef. Each segment of the channel adds value to the calf produced to satisfy this consumer need,
but each segment also must make a profit.
It is this dichotomy within the industry needing to work together but also
each separate segment forced to being profitable that muddies the signals. The poultry industry solved this
problem with vertical integration.
Is the market offering a reasonable price? When should cattleman price
their cattle? Knowing how prices are determined may help producers, feeders and packers answer these
questions and take advantage of the highest possible price.
Most people get frustrated when economists say that "the forces of supply
and demand" determine prices, and as you might suspect, these economists are only partially correct. If
supply and demand were known, prices would be easily determined. The fact is that supply and demand are not
known.
In reality, expected supply and demand determines price. Economists refer
to beef demand as the amount of beef that will be bought at various prices during a certain time period. As
the price of beef increases, the amount bought normally declines. Or, as the price of beef declines,
consumers are willing to buy more meat. Thus demand is made up of various components, including quantity and
time. Other factors that may affect price are consumer income levels, number of consumers in the market, and
prices of related products such as poultry and pork.
Supply also has the two components of quantity and time. Supply is the
quantity supplied at various prices during a certain time period. As price increases, producers are willing
to produce more and sell more beef. As the price declines, producers are reluctant to sell more beef and over
time, will produce less.
So how are prices really determined? Prices are determined by negotiation.
These negotiations take place simultaneously at every level of the marketing channel. Consumers have
money to spend and they want to purchase beef. But, consumers only have a limited amount of money to
spend and they like other goods and services as well as beef. They decide what amount of beef they buy based
upon the amount of money they have to spend, the price of beef and their desire to eat beef compared to other
food items available to them.
The retailer at any point in time has a certain amount of meat to sell.
The retailer puts a price on the meat. The higher the price, the less meat he sells. The lower the price, the
more meat he will sell. A price is basically established over time between the consumer and retailer when the
amount of meat bought equals the amount the retailer puts in the meat case.
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