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Analyze The Market Environment Analyzing
the market environment is a fancy way of saying that you need to understand the forces of supply and demand
and how they influence cattle prices. You must be aware of how the cattle cycle, cattle inventory numbers,
hog and poultry numbers and the price of corn influences cattle prices. In short, this is knowledge of the
market forces that you are facing at the time of sale. It changes each year. Cattle producers must become
involved in the market and develop an expectation of price levels.
Don't be like the producer who asks what is going on in the cattle market
because he had taken some calves to the sale barn this year and received $30 per cwt lower than last year. He had
no advance understanding or expectations because he had not done any homework. He could have asked about
prices from a neighbor or even looked in the newspaper. His last exposure to the cattle market was the year
before when he took his calves to market.
Review Available Market Alternatives Many factors
influence whether or not a market is acceptable. As you evaluate market alternatives ask yourself some of the
following questions. What type of cattle will this specific market take? You need to sell a certain
number of animals of a particular weight, color, frame size, sex, and health and management status. Will your
cattle sell well at this market or are they going to be discounted because of one or more reasons. Do you
have the ability to influence the way your animals are presented to the buyer? Auctions generally sell single
lots--can you group your calves? On farm sales and some regional sales automatically grade, sort and group
calves by sex, weight and color. Do you have enough cattle to sort by class?
What about the buyers? Who are their customers? Are they buying for only a
few customers, i.e., a packer, or are they servicing a broad customer base that can take wide range of
weights, ages, and frame sizes? Take the time to meet and talk with these buyers. Find out what they
normally buy and what they want to see in a calf. Match his needs against your cattle inventory.
Remember you also sell cull cows and bulls. This market is quite
different than your calf market. Buyers are different and the main price determining factors are health and
weight. Cow grades are based primarily on carcass yield potential. Bigger carcasses that yield a high
amount of meat are paid a premium over smaller carcasses.
There are also other considerations you need to evaluate. These factors
may not directly affect the price you receive for your cattle but they can indirectly influence the number of
dollars that you finally put into your pocket. What about the handling facilities? Will they let
you work your cattle in an easy manner or will your cattle be stressed in the unloading or loading process?
Stressed cattle can show signs of sickness and frequently lose weight. Can you feed and water your cattle if
they are penned for any length of time prior to their sale? What about the records that are kept on
your cattle as they go through the sale? Are they accurate? How soon after the sale are you
paid? And how is the amount of shrink determined?
Review your marketing alternatives. Take some time to see if there are
other market outlets that you can use. If there are, evaluate them critically, not just if they can provide
you with a better price than your current market. The time to review these options is not the day before you plan
to take your calves to the sale but, sometime earlier so you can have time to thoroughly review and
understand these options.
Compare Market Alternatives Against Your Operation's Goals
Once you have analyzed the marketing alternatives available to you, compare their
potential to your stated business objectives. Will they fit your operation? Are they physically possible or
do you have to significantly change the way you do business to utilize an alternative?
Make Your Decision And Market Your Cattle
Finally, make a decision and market your calves. Don’t try to second guess your decision.
If you do well keep you will want to keep this alternative for next year. If it did not pan out then
scratch this alternative and go on. You learn from your mistakes and every year is different in the cattle
business. Marketing is a planned event that is reviewed every year, changed if necessary, but constantly
improved.
Last, but not least, what about retained ownership? It is a marketing
alternative. Would it be profitable for you to keep these calves until next spring? They will weigh more. The
information required to analyze a retained ownership decision is the same as that used to evaluate any other
market. First, estimate the cost of gain. Then compare what you can get for the calves today against a
spring sale. The futures market and knowledge of the basis will help develop a spring price estimate.
Summary Most producers are good production people and
they dislike the hassle associated with marketing. But, in beef cattle production survival depends on a
producer being above average in production, marketing and financial management.
A successful beef marketing effort includes at least six steps: knowing
what you have to market, knowing the costs of production, knowing the market environment, reviewing
alternative marketing actions, comparing alternatives against management goals, and making a decision and
staying with the decision.
These steps allow a cattle producer to inventory his herd and review its
strengths and weaknesses. Reviewing the market environment also provides information about the basic supply
and demand factors that influence prices. Comparison of market alternatives allow the opportunity to
match the operation’s strengths against what the market is offering this year. Finally, a marketing
decision must be made. This step wise procedure will allow any cattleman to make a better and more informed
decision when marketing his cattle.
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